Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 22

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Berga		Karlshamn

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.05	4.7
	1.54	4.28	4.88	Watch
	1.54	4	4.5
	1.5	4.05	5.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	4.1 ↑ (3.75)	4.8 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berga
59%

Draw
22.1%

Karlshamn
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Karlshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berga than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlshamn than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Berga - Karlshamn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(4 - 1)

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th and 14th in the Relegation).

Berga has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Karlshamn has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Berga for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Berga has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Berga against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 2.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	IFK Berga	24	12	4	8	52:36	16	40
14	IFK Karlshamn ✔	24	4	2	18	26:60	-34	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
12.09.26	Nosaby - Berga	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Berga - Lilla Torg	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Karlskrona - Berga	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Berga - Staffanstorp United	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Torn - Berga	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLTW
- IFK Karlshamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
13.09.26	Karlshamn - Torn	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Österlen - Karlshamn	6:0 ✺
29.08.26	Karlshamn - Nosaby	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Sölvesborg - Karlshamn	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Karlshamn - IFK Trelleborg	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
19.04.26	Karlshamn - Berga	0:1
18.08.24	Berga - Karlshamn	4:3
21.04.24	Karlshamn - Berga	2:1
02.10.21	Berga - Karlshamn	1:1
19.06.21	Karlshamn - Berga	0:0

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