Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Nosaby		Berga

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.5	2.38
	2.4	3.4	2.3
	2.5	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.52)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	2.34 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosaby
36.1%

Draw
25.8%

Berga
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.2%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosaby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Berga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosaby than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nosaby won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Nosaby won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nosaby won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	IFK Berga	24	12	4	8	52:36	16	40
5	Nosaby	24	11	6	7	45:39	6	39

Last Results with these Odds

Nosaby - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.99%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosaby IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
05.09.26	Oskarshamn - Nosaby	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Karlshamn - Nosaby	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Nosaby - Torn	5:0 ✺
18.08.26	Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	Sölvesborg - Nosaby	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWLW
- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
06.09.26	Berga - Lilla Torg	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Karlskrona - Berga	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Berga - Staffanstorp United	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Torn - Berga	3:4 ✺
07.08.26	Räppe GoIF - Berga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
29.03.26	Berga - Nosaby	2:3
12.10.24	Nosaby - Berga	2:2
16.06.24	Berga - Nosaby	2:0
01.10.23	Berga - Nosaby	1:0
28.05.23	Nosaby - Berga	2:0
24.09.22	Nosaby - Berga	1:3
26.05.22	Berga - Nosaby	0:0

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