Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Berga		Luleå

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.6	Watch
	4.25	4	1.6
	4.5	4.5	1.53
	4.3	4.1	1.59
	4.68	4.51	1.61
	4.5	3.8	1.65
	4.4	4.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (2.89)	4.14 ↑ (3.6)	1.6 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berga
20.7%

Draw
22.1%

Luleå
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

18.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berga's form might have worsened.

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luleå's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berga than the current prediction. (+22.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luleå, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Berga - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

IFK Berga is Relegated to

IFK Berga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Luleå is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luleå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luleå is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches IFK Berga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.11.20	Haninge - Berga	10:2 ✺
07.11.20	Berga - Täby	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	Karlslund - Berga	1:0 ✺
24.10.20	Berga - Brommapojkarna	1:4 ✺
17.10.20	Berga - Vasalund	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL
- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.11.20	Luleå - Sollentuna	1:3 ✺
08.11.20	Karlslund - Luleå	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Frej - Luleå	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Luleå - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Luleå - Team TG	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
19.07.20	Luleå - Berga	1:0

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