Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Frej		Luleå

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.2	Watch
	1.65	4	4
	1.62	4.25	4.1
	1.64	3.95	4
	1.68	4.22	4.21
	1.67	3.9	4.2
	1.68	4.05	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.84)	4.05 ↑ (3.76)	4.12 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frej
55.3%

Draw
22.5%

Luleå
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

17.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frej's performance.

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frej than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frej that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luleå could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frej - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10).

Frej is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Luleå is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frej could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Frej have a series of guest games.

Frej will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Frej won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Frej won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Frej
Swedish Division 1 Norra
28.10.20	Gefle - Frej	2:0 ✺
24.10.20	Sandviken - Frej	3:2 ✺
17.10.20	Brommapojkarna - Frej	4:1 ✺
11.10.20	Frej - Sollentuna	2:2 ✺
07.10.20	Berga - Frej	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTW
- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.10.20	Luleå - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Luleå - Team TG	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Gefle - Luleå	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Vasalund - Luleå	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Luleå - Nyköping	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
02.09.20	Luleå - Frej	2:3
26.10.14	Frej - Luleå	2:2

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