Match Info

Date: 12 August 2020, Wednesday


	Berga		Sollentuna

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.61
	3.5	4	1.75
	3.85	4.25	1.66
	3.75	4	1.68
	3.88	4.3	1.71
	4	4	1.7
	3.94	4.15	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (4.98)	4.07 ↓ (4.2)	1.69 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berga
23.8%

Draw
22.3%

Sollentuna
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

21.7%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

18.1%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Berga's performance.

Sollentuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sollentuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berga than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Berga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sollentuna than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sollentuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Berga - Sollentuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

IFK Berga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sollentuna is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sollentuna is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 1 Norra
08.08.20	Berga - Karlslund	3:2 ✺
19.07.20	Luleå - Berga	1:0 ✺
15.07.20	Berga - Nyköping	3:4 ✺
11.07.20	Sylvia - Berga	4:2 ✺
05.07.20	Berga - Örebro Syrianska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLL
- Sollentuna FK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
08.08.20	Sollentuna - Nyköping	1:0 ✺
18.07.20	Örebro Syrianska - Sollentuna	1:2 ✺
15.07.20	Sollentuna - Haninge	2:1 ✺
11.07.20	Sandviken - Sollentuna	2:1 ✺
05.07.20	Sollentuna - Frej	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW

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