Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 20

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Bergdalen		Hestrafors

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.8	1.34
	6.1	5.15	1.37
	6.37	4.9	1.31
	6.89	4.7	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.47 ↓ (6.59)	4.89 ↓ (5.02)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergdalen
14%

Draw
18.5%

Hestrafors
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

18%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

17.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergdalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Hestrafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergdalen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hestrafors than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Bergdalen - Hestrafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Brodin O. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Lillskog V. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Lillskog V. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 0 - 4, ⚽,
72', 🟥,
73', 0 - 5, ⚽,
79', 1 - 5, ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Bergdalen has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hestrafors is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hestrafors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hestrafors is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Hestrafors will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bergdalen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergdalens IK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
31.08.25	Jonsereds - Bergdalen	5:1 ✺
22.08.25	Bergdalen - Landvetter	0:6 ✺
15.08.25	Lindome - Bergdalen	5:0 ✺
10.08.25	Tvååker - Bergdalen	4:0 ✺
03.08.25	Bergdalen - Åstorps	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hestrafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
30.08.25	Hestrafors - Åstorps	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Onsala - Hestrafors	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Hestrafors - Västra Frölunda	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Hestrafors - Qviding	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Varbergs GIF - Hestrafors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
19.06.25	Hestrafors - Bergdalen	2:2

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