Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Rydets IP (Onsala)


	Onsala		Hestrafors

	1	X	2
	2	4.15	2.88
	1.92	4.78	2.8	Watch
	1.91	3.8	2.9
	1.94	4.25	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.78)	4.25 ↑ (3.9)	2.86 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Onsala
46.8%

Draw
21.4%

Hestrafors
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

23.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

24.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Onsala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Hestrafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hestrafors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Onsala than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Onsala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hestrafors than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hestrafors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Onsala - Hestrafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, ⚽,
61', 4 - 1, ⚽,
84', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hestrafors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Onsala will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Onsala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Onsala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hestrafors	24	12	5	7	48:39	9	41
9	Onsala	24	8	6	10	33:37	-4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Onsala BK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
10.05.26	Åstorps - Onsala	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Lindome - Onsala	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Onsala - Jonsereds	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Onsala - Kongahälla	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Landvetter - Onsala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLTL
- Hestrafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
08.05.26	Lindome - Hestrafors	2:3 ✺
01.05.26	Hestrafors - Västra Frölunda	2:4 ✺
24.04.26	Landvetter - Hestrafors	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Hestrafors - Astrio	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Åstorps - Hestrafors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
23.08.25	Onsala - Hestrafors	0:1
23.05.25	Hestrafors - Onsala	1:3

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