Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 24

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Bergdalen		Västra Frölunda

	1	X	2
	14.5	9.6	1.09
	13.69	8.9	1.08
	12.7	9.6	1.08
	7	5.5	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.97 ↑ (6.95)	8.4 ↑ (5.6)	1.13 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergdalen
7.7%

Draw
10.9%

Västra Frölunda
81.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

16.4%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

15.3%

75.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergdalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bergdalen's form might have worsened.

Västra Frölunda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Västra Frölunda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergdalen than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västra Frölunda than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Västra Frölunda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bergdalen - Västra Frölunda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Västra Frölunda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
69', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Bergdalen is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Västra Frölunda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Västra Frölunda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Västra Frölunda is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bergdalen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bergdalen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergdalens IK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
28.09.25	Onsala - Bergdalen	8:2 ✺
21.09.25	Bergdalen - Böljan	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Qviding - Bergdalen	6:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bergdalen - Hestrafors	1:5 ✺
31.08.25	Jonsereds - Bergdalen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Västra Frölunda IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
27.09.25	Västra Frölunda - Astrio	5:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tvååker - Västra Frölunda	6:2 ✺
14.09.25	Västra Frölunda - Jonsereds	4:2 ✺
07.09.25	Åstorps - Västra Frölunda	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Varbergs GIF - Västra Frölunda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
01.05.25	Västra Frölunda - Bergdalen	0:1
24.08.24	Bergdalen - Västra Frölunda	1:2
28.04.24	Västra Frölunda - Bergdalen	2:3

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