Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 23

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Bergnäsets		IFK Östersunds

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.15
	2.9	3.6	2.15
	2.87	3.5	2.12
	2.86	3.7	2.09
	2.9	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.2)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	2.13 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergnäsets
32.1%

Draw
25.3%

IFK Östersunds
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

23%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergnäsets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bergnäsets's form might have worsened.

IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IFK Östersunds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergnäsets than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bergnäsets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IFK Östersunds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bergnäsets - IFK Östersunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 3 - 1, Talsi ⚽,
24', 1 - 0, Hansson ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Åberg ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Johnson ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bergnäsets won 2.

Bergnäsets has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches IFK Östersunds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

IFK Östersunds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bergnäsets won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergnäsets won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergnäsets AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
22.09.24	Team TG - Bergnäsets	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Bergnäsets - Boden	0:6 ✺
07.09.24	Gottne - Bergnäsets	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Bergnäsets - Luleå	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Umeå - Bergnäsets	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
21.09.24	Luleå - IFK Östersunds	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	IFK Östersunds - Team TG	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Lucksta - IFK Östersunds	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	IFK Östersunds - Gottne	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Boden - IFK Östersunds	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
06.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Bergnäsets	1:1
16.09.23	Bergnäsets - IFK Östersunds	2:1
20.05.23	IFK Östersunds - Bergnäsets	1:0
23.06.22	IFK Östersunds - Bergnäsets	1:3
09.04.22	Bergnäsets - IFK Östersunds	0:3
06.11.21	Bergnäsets - IFK Östersunds	3:2
28.08.21	IFK Östersunds - Bergnäsets	1:1

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