Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Promotion Group

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lucksta		IFK Östersunds

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.65	1.86
	3.01	4.13	1.95	Watch
	3.01	4.44	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	4.07 ↑ (3.65)	1.95 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucksta
30.3%

Draw
22.6%

IFK Östersunds
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

24.2%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.2%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucksta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

IFK Östersunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Lucksta - IFK Östersunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 5)

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 8th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lucksta won 0.

Lucksta is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

IFK Östersunds shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

IFK Östersunds is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Lucksta has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:20 (averaging 1.3:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lucksta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:13 goals (averaging 1.7:4.3 per game).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	IFK Ostersund	14	7	3	4	35:22	13	41
8	Lucksta	14	4	1	9	23:32	-9	31

Last Results with these Odds

IFK Östersunds - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 47.4%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucksta IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.09.26	Lucksta - Täfteå	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Luleå - Lucksta	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Kubikensborgs - Lucksta	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	Lucksta - Gottne	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Gottne - Lucksta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWT
- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
26.09.26	IFK Östersunds - Boden	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Täfteå - IFK Östersunds	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	IFK Östersunds - Gottne	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	IFK Östersunds - Skellefteå FF	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Skellefteå FF - IFK Östersunds	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
16.08.26	IFK Östersunds - Lucksta	1:0
23.05.26	IFK Östersunds - Lucksta	4:2
12.04.26	Lucksta - IFK Östersunds	2:4
28.06.25	Lucksta - IFK Östersunds	2:8
07.09.24	Lucksta - IFK Östersunds	1:1
04.05.24	IFK Östersunds - Lucksta	2:1

Lucksta - IFK Östersunds