Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Berkhamsted		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.35	2.18
	2.95	3.29	2.19
	2.94	3.6	2.21	Watch
	2.88	3.34	2.2
	3	3.25	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.48)	3.37 ↓ (3.69)	2.2 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
31.3%

Draw
27.1%

Chertsey Town
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

24.8%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berkhamsted's form might have worsened.

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berkhamsted, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Berkhamsted - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Lee C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Lacey J. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, McCoy O. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7)

Recent performances by Berkhamsted have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chertsey is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Berkhamsted won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Chertsey Town - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
13.12.25	Weymouth - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Berkhamsted - Farnham Town	3:3 ✺
29.11.25	Berkhamsted - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Walton & Hersham - Berkhamsted	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Taunton Town - Berkhamsted	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLLW
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
13.12.25	Hungerford Town - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Chertsey Town - Weymouth	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Chertsey Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Chertsey Town	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Gloucester City - Chertsey Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.08.25	Chertsey Town - Berkhamsted	0:1

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