Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.05	4.25
	1.50	4.42	5.47	Watch
	1.56	4.05	4.71
	1.53	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	4.16 ↓ (4.3)	4.86 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
59.2%

Draw
22%

Chertsey Town
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.5%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Gloucester City - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Spence S. ⚽,
53', 2 - 0, Simpson K. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Gloucester is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Chertsey has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gloucester is considered a favorite.

We predict that Gloucester will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gloucester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
18.11.25	Basingstoke Town - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Slough Town - Gloucester City	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Gloucester City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Uxbridge - Gloucester City	4:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Gloucester City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
18.11.25	Chertsey Town - Hanwell Town	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Chertsey Town - Evesham United	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Wimborne Town - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
21.10.25	Chertsey Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.04.25	Chertsey Town - Gloucester City	1:0
14.12.24	Gloucester City - Chertsey Town	3:1

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