Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 15

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Berliner AK 07		Babelsberg

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.47
	5.5	4.33	1.5	Watch
	5.6	4.66	1.52
	5.18	4.66	1.52
	17	8	1.06
	5.9	4.2	1.49
	5.6	4.1	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (3)	4.85 ↑ (3.7)	1.44 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berliner AK 07
13.4%

Draw
19.8%

Babelsberg
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

24%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

23.2%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berliner AK 07 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berliner AK 07's form might have worsened.

Babelsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Babelsberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berliner AK 07 than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berliner AK 07, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Babelsberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Berliner AK 07 - Babelsberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Berliner AK 07 won 2.

Berliner AK 07 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Babelsberg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Babelsberg is certain favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Berliner AK 07 won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Berliner AK 07 won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berliner AK 07
German Regionalliga Nordost
11.11.23	Greifswald - Berliner AK 07	5:0 ✺
03.11.23	Berliner AK 07 - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Eilenburg - Berliner AK 07	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Berliner AK 07 - Meuselwitz	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Altglienicke - Berliner AK 07	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTL
- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
10.11.23	Babelsberg - Chemie Leipzig	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Energie Cottbus - Babelsberg	4:0 ✺
29.10.23	Babelsberg - Hansa Rostock II	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg	0:1 ✺
06.10.23	Babelsberg - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
14.04.23	Berliner AK 07 - Babelsberg	2:2
28.10.22	Babelsberg - Berliner AK 07	0:0
05.04.22	Berliner AK 07 - Babelsberg	2:2
01.10.21	Babelsberg - Berliner AK 07	1:2
29.11.19	Babelsberg - Berliner AK 07	0:4
13.03.19	Babelsberg - Berliner AK 07	1:1
08.08.18	Berliner AK 07 - Babelsberg	0:5

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