Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Besa Kavajë		Lushnja

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	2.62
	2.37	3.32	2.66	Watch
	2.39	3.22	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.04)	3.25 (3.25)	2.63 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Besa Kavajë
37.9%

Draw
27.8%

Lushnja
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Besa Kavajë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Besa Kavajë's form might have worsened.

Lushnja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lushnja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Besa Kavajë, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lushnja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Besa Kavajë - Lushnja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Besa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', Abdulai N. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Besa won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Besa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Besa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Besa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Besa Kavaje	4	2	1	1	13:5	8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Besa Kavajë
Albanian First Division
05.04.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Besa Kavajë	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Laçi - Besa Kavajë	5:3 ✺
14.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Burreli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW
- KS Lushnja
Albanian First Division
04.04.26	Lushnja - Korabi Peshkopi	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Kukësi - Lushnja	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Lushnja - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Lushnja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
14.12.25	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	0:1
26.09.25	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	1:1
17.12.24	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	1:0
21.09.24	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	0:0
21.04.24	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	2:0
27.11.23	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	2:1
13.09.23	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	4:3

Besa Kavajë - Lushnja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide