Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadiumi Loni Papuciu (Fier) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	15:00	Klani IM, RTSH Sport
International	14:00	FIFA+


	Apolonia Fier		Lushnja

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.08	3.51	Watch
	2.03	3.18	3.39
	1.92	2.71	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apolonia Fier
44.5%

Draw
29.2%

Lushnja
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lushnja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Apolonia Fier - Lushnja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 2.

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Apolonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Apolonia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division
18.03.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Laçi - Apolonia Fier	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- KS Lushnja
Albanian First Division
18.03.26	Kukësi - Lushnja	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Lushnja - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Lushnja	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Lushnja - Laçi	1:5 ✺
21.02.26	Pogradeci - Lushnja	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
25.01.26	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	0:0
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	3:2
Albanian First Division
24.10.25	Lushnja - Apolonia Fier	0:1
20.04.25	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	0:0
07.12.24	Lushnja - Apolonia Fier	2:1
15.09.24	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	0:1
09.03.24	Lushnja - Apolonia Fier	1:1

Apolonia Fier - Lushnja