Match Info

LaLiga - Round 4

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio de La Cartuja (Sevilla)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Laola1
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Betis		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	6.25	5	1.44	Watch
	5.50	5.00	1.47
	5.9	4.8	1.46	Watch
	6.47	5.3	1.48
	6.06	5.15	1.49	Watch
	6.25	5.1	1.46
	6.79	5.1	1.46	Watch
	6.4	5.4	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↑ (4.13)	5.11 ↑ (4.02)	1.46 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Betis
15.5%

Draw
18.8%

Real Madrid
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.5%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

24.4%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Betis's form might have worsened.

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Betis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	14.5%	82.6%

Betis - Real Madrid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (5.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Betis (1.71) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25, 2nd Half - Betis (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25, 1st Half - Betis (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (57 of 68 users predict this - 83.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.07% – 92.57%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Betis (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Real (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valles A. (G) 2. Bellerin H. 3. Llorente D. 4. Natan 11. Garcia F. 6. Bernal F. 21. Roca M. 7. Antony 22. Isco (C) 8. Fornals P. 9. Hernandez C.	1. Courtois T. (G) 24. Dumfries D. 16. Konate I. 4. Huijsen D. 17. Cucurella M. 8. Valverde F. (C) 6. Camavinga E. 15. Guler A. 5. Bellingham J. 7. Vinicius Junior 10. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
5. Bartra M. 18. Deossa N. 40. de Pablo A. (G) 15. Fidalgo A. 23. Firpo J. 16. Gomez V. 31. Gonzalez M. (G) 14. Losada I. 27. Morante J. 12. Ortiz A. 19. Parrott T. 17. Riquelme R.	12. Alexander-Arnold T. 18. Carreras A. 29. Cestero Sancho J. 21. Diaz B. 25. Diomande Y. 19. Espi C. 13. Lunin A. (G) 38. Martinez S. 31. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 33. Rivas M. 22. Rudiger A. 20. Silva B.
Coaches
Pellegrini M.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Llorente D. ↓, Bartra M. ↑,
45+3', Guler A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Konate I. 🟨,
55', Mourinho J. 🟨,
60', Isco ↓, Fidalgo A. ↑,
62', Camavinga E. 🟨,
64', Bernal F. 🟨,
64', Camavinga E. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
64', Dumfries D. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
64', Guler A. ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
69', Bernal F. ↓, Deossa N. ↑,
69', Hernandez C. ↓, Parrott T. ↑,
77', Antony ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽,
82', Valverde F. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
83', Roca M. 🟨,
90+3', Natan 🟨,
90+4', Mbappe K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Betis won 1.

Betis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Betis: Ceballos D. (Coach's decision) Conde D. (Shoulder Injury) Ezzalzouli A. (Illness) Lo Celso G. (Muscle Injury) Ruibal A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real: Asencio R. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Endrick (Muscle Injury) Mendy F. (Hip Injury) Pitarch T. (Knee Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury) Tchouameni A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Betis won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Betis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.3:2.1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Madrid: 20.23% Betis: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Betis	7	5	1	1	9:7	2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18:8	10	15

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 51.61%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
29.08.26	Levante - Betis	5:2 ✺
25.08.26	Valencia - Betis	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Betis - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Inter Milan - Betis	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Betis - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLT
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
30.08.26	Real Madrid - Málaga	4:0 ✺
26.08.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Schalke 04 - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.04.26	Betis - Real Madrid	1:1
04.01.26	Real Madrid - Betis	5:1
01.03.25	Betis - Real Madrid	2:1
01.09.24	Real Madrid - Betis	2:0
25.05.24	Real Madrid - Betis	0:0
09.12.23	Betis - Real Madrid	1:1
05.03.23	Betis - Real Madrid	0:0

Upcoming Matches