Match Info

LaLiga - Round 1

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 3, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1
Austria	21:00	Laola1
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN
Brazil	16:00	Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	14:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Italy	21:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 1
Mexico	13:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Grandstand
Spain	21:00	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Turkey	22:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN


	Real Madrid		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	1.17	8.00	13.00	Watch
	1.21	7.50	11.50
	1.19	7.50	13.00	Watch
	1.20	8.25	15.00
	1.22	7.19	11.87	Watch
	1.19	7.95	13.00
	1.19	8.68	13.40	Watch
	1.20	8.20	13.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.37)	7.91 ↑ (5.18)	12.97 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
80.4%

Draw
12.2%

Real Sociedad
7.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.3%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	0%	8.9%

Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Real (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (41 of 45 users predict this - 91.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.79% – 99.43%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 24. Dumfries D. 16. Konate I. 4. Huijsen D. 18. Carreras A. 20. Silva B. 8. Valverde F. (C) 15. Guler A. 5. Bellingham J. 7. Vinicius Junior 10. Mbappe K.	1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 34. Beitia L. 31. Martin J. 17. Gomez S. 21. Herrera Y. 8. Turrientes B. 14. Kubo T. 24. Sucic L. 12. Ochieng J. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
12. Alexander-Arnold T. 6. Camavinga E. 29. Cestero Sancho J. 36. Ciria A. 17. Cucurella M. 21. Diaz B. 25. Diomande Y. 19. Espi C. 13. Lunin A. (G) 26. Mestre S. (G) 33. Rivas M. 22. Rudiger A.	26. Aguirre I. 7. Barrenetxea A. 11. Guedes G. 28. Lebarbier A. 29. Marchal A. 13. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 9. Oskarsson O. 16. Pacheco J. 18. Soler C. 23. Zakharyan A. 5. Zubeldia I.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Carreras A. 🟨,
31', Herrera Y. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Sucic L. ⚽,
45+2', Aramburu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Carreras A. ↓, Cucurella M. ↑,
57', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
57', Aramburu J. ↓, Zubeldia I. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
66', Ochieng J. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
66', Herrera Y. ↓, Soler C. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
71', Beitia L. 🟨,
73', Konate I. 🟨,
74', Kubo T. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
78', Bellingham J. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
78', Guler A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
84', Vinicius Junior ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
86', Silva B. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
90+4', Camavinga E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.

Real is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Sociedad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Real Sociedad has had a series of away games.

In this match, Real is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Real: Asencio R. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Endrick (Muscle Injury) Mendy F. (Hip Injury) Pitarch T. (Knee Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury) Tchouameni A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Gorrotxategi J. (Groin Injury) Marin P. (Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:24. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	25:10	15	24
5	Real Sociedad	10	6	1	3	19:18	1	19

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Madrid: 23.65% Real Sociedad: 0.45%

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 69.22%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
22.08.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Schalke 04 - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Real Madrid - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
28.07.26	Real Madrid - Leganés	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
21.08.26	Betis - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Chelsea - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
31.07.26	Toulouse - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Aston Villa - Real Sociedad	2:4 ✺
25.07.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.02.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1
13.09.25	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	1:2
24.05.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.04.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:4 ET
26.02.25	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
14.09.24	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	0:2
26.04.24	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	0:1

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