Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 23

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Betlemi Keda		Aragvi Dusheti

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.48	2.30	Watch
	3.44	3.5	1.95
	2.9	3.33	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.97)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	2.1 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Betlemi Keda
30.1%

Draw
26.5%

Aragvi Dusheti
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

25.8%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

25.9%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Betlemi Keda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Aragvi Dusheti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betlemi Keda than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Betlemi Keda - Aragvi Dusheti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Nakashidze D. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Lukava G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
51', 1 - 2, Tutashvili N. ⚽,
53', 1 - 3, Chitaishvili M. ⚽,
74', 2 - 3, Maisaia I. ⚽,
75', 2 - 4, Lukava G. ⚽,
78', 2 - 5, Lukava G. ⚽,
90', 3 - 5, Ashba S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5).

Betlemi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aragvi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aragvi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aragvi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Betlemi Keda
Georgian Liga 3
25.09.25	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri - Betlemi Keda	0:4 ✺
12.09.25	Varketili - Betlemi Keda	3:0 ✺
05.09.25	Betlemi Keda - Gardabani	4:1 ✺
27.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2 - Betlemi Keda	2:2 ✺
21.08.25	Betlemi Keda - Odishi 1919	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTL
- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Liga 3
10.10.25	Aragvi Dusheti - Merani Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Gori - Aragvi Dusheti	1:0 ✺
25.09.25	Aragvi Dusheti - Orbi	2:2 ✺
18.09.25	Kolkheti Khobi - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Aragvi Dusheti - WIT Georgia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWW

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