Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Bezana		Colindres

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.89	3.30	4.00	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.59	3.52	5.29
	1.66	3.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.49)	3.39 ↓ (3.66)	4.81 ↓ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bezana
54.1%

Draw
26.9%

Colindres
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

24.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

23.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bezana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bezana's form might have worsened.

Colindres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bezana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colindres than the current prediction. (-5%)

Bezana - Colindres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Bezana have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Colindres has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bezana is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bezana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Bezana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bezana	5	5	0	0	11:3	8	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.12.25	Selaya - Bezana	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bezana - Laredo	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Albericia - Bezana	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Torina - Bezana	0:3 ✺
15.11.25	Bezana - Barquereño	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WLWWL
- CD Colindres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.12.25	Colindres - Torina	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Barquereño - Colindres	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Colindres - Noja	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Castro - Colindres	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Revilla - Colindres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
29.03.25	Colindres - Bezana	0:0
16.11.24	Bezana - Colindres	1:0
21.01.24	Colindres - Bezana	0:1

Bezana - Colindres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide