Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 12Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castro |
|
Colindres |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.7 |
5.9 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.75 |
6.47 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.5) |
3.73 ↓
(3.8) |
6.19 ↓
(6.26) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castro
61.1% | Draw
24.3% | Colindres
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Colindres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colindres than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Castro - Colindres Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Castro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Colindres has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Colindres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Castro is the obvious favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 | | | 09.03.25 | Colindres - Castro | 2:0 | | 01.05.24 | Castro - Colindres | 1:0 | | 07.01.24 | Colindres - Castro | 0:1 | | 05.02.22 | Colindres - Castro | 1:1 | | 10.10.21 | Castro - Colindres | 2:0 |
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