Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nagyerdei Stadion (Debrecen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 4
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 6
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Israel	19:45	Sport 4
Kazakhstan	23:45	Qazsport
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 4
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
Turkey	20:45	TRT Spor
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Beşiktaş		Maccabi Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.75
	1.68	4.1	4.6
	1.72	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.76	4.05	4.59
	1.72	4.06	4.48	Watch
	1.7	4	4.5
	1.78	4.24	4.6
	1.72	4.25	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.5)	4.09 ↑ (3.8)	4.57 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
55.5%

Draw
23.5%

Maccabi Tel Aviv
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

23.8%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

22.9%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beşiktaş, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Tel Aviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	6.9%	6.9%

Beşiktaş - Maccabi Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 3. Gabriel Paulista 14. Uduokhai F. 26. Masuaku A. 83. Fernandes G. 18. Joao Mario 7. Rashica M. 27. Rafa Silva 9. Kilicsoy S. 17. Immobile C.	90. Mishpati R. (G) 4. Lemkin S. 18. Stojic N. 13. Shlomo R. 11. Jehezkel S. 42. Peretz D. (C) 14. van Overeem J. 16. Kanichowsky G. 77. Davida O. 9. Turgeman D. 17. Weslley Patati
Substitutes
6. Al Musrati 4. Bulut O. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 77. Keles C. 73. Ndour C. 71. Onana J. 5. Sanuc T. T. 79. Terzi E. 53. Topcu E. 8. Ucan S. 22. Zaynutdinov B.	20. Addo H. 6. Asante T. 2. Cohen A. 33. Layous H. 19. Madmon E. 15. Malede Y. 5. Nachmias I. 3. Revivo R. 36. Shahar I. 28. Sissokho I. 23. Sluga S. (G) 7. Zahavi E.
Coaches
van Bronckhorst G.	Lazetic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', Gabriel Paulista ↓, Topcu E. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Kanichowsky G. ⚽, Davida O. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Rafa Silva ⚽, Kilicsoy S. (A),
42', Masuaku A. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 2, Peretz D. ⚽, Weslley Patati (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rashica M. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
46', Uduokhai F. ↓, Sanuc T. T. ↑,
46', Joao Mario ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
66', Peretz D. ↓, Sissokho I. ↑,
66', Jehezkel S. ↓, Nachmias I. ↑,
71', Immobile C. (Pen),
81', 1 - 3, Weslley Patati ⚽,
82', Fernandes G. 🟨,
83', Masuaku A. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
84', Hekimoglu M. 🟨,
84', Stojic N. 🟨,
86', Turgeman D. ↓, Madmon E. ↑,
86', Weslley Patati ↓, Addo H. ↑,
90+1', Shlomo R. ↓, Asante T. ↑,
90+3', van Overeem J. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Nagyerdei Stadion. No spectators.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Maccabi Tel Aviv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Beşiktaş is a favorite.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Muci E. (Thigh Injury) Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Melika O. (Ankle Injury) Revivo R. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
24.11.24	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	2:4 ✺
10.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.24	Beşiktaş - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.11.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3 ✺
28.10.24	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLL
- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
10.11.24	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Ajax - Maccabi Tel Aviv	5:0 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
02.11.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0:1 ✺
28.10.24	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Tel Aviv	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

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