Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Changlimithang Stadium (Thimphu)


	Bhutan		Lebanon

	1	X	2
	34	10	1.06
	36	12	1.05
	23.67	12.43	1.03
	25.00	15.21	1.00	Watch
	33	10	1.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	30.33 ↑ (20)	11.93 ↑ (8.03)	1.04 ↓ (1.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bhutan
3.1%

Draw
7.8%

Lebanon
89.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

4.6%

11.6%

83.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bhutan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lebanon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lebanon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Bhutan - Lebanon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lebanon will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lebanon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Bhutan (1.92) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bhutan (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lebanon (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dorji J. (G) 3. Dorji S. RTC 2. Gyeltshen Y. RTC 17. Jigme K. RTC 16. Namgyel T. Paro 4. Norbu T. Thimphu City 12. Penjor K. 9. Tenzin K. RTC 11. Wangchuk K. Paro 15. Wangdi N. (C) Paro 8. Zangpo P. RTC	21. Matar M. (G) Safa 6. Al Zein H. Safa 17. Chakroun H. Hannover 9. Fakhro M. Hallescher 10. Haidar M. (C) Al Ahed 22. Kassas A. Nejmeh SC 3. Khamis K. Safa 13. Kheir El Dine A. Al Ansar 20. Merheg S. J. Dep. Pereira 4. Safwan M. Nejmeh SC 16. Shour W. Jwayya SC
Substitutes
5. Chetrim K. Paro 1. De Gea T. (G) 13. Dorji J. Thimphu City 6. Dorji J. S. 7. Dorji R. 22. Dorji U. 18. Kinzang Tashi T. Thimphu City 19. Namgyel J. RTC 23. Pradhan B. 14. Tshering D. Samtse 20. Zangpo G. (G) Paro	15. Ayoub J. Safa 2. El Hayek M. Safa 12. Farhat H. Al Ahed 14. Farran Z. Jwayya SC 19. Kaddour K. Western United 1. Khalil M. (G) Al-Faisaly Amman 5. Nassar N. Al Ansar 11. Osman M. Al Ansar 23. Sabeh A. (G) Al Ahed 18. Sharafeddine H. Safa 8. Sisi Al Ansar

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Fakhro M. ⚽, Haidar M. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Chakroun H. ⚽,
20', 0 - 3, Safwan M. ⚽, Fakhro M. (A),
26', Kassas A. ↓, Kaddour K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chakroun H. ↓, Farran Z. ↑,
49', Haidar M. 🟨,
50', 0 - 4, Farran Z. ⚽, Merheg S. J. (A),
57', Jigme K. 🟨,
57', Merheg S. J. 🟨,
62', Tenzin K. ↓, Kinzang Tashi T. ↑,
62', Wangchuk K. ↓, Dorji J. ↑,
63', Dorji S. ↓, Pradhan B. ↑,
68', Safwan M. ↓, Sharafeddine H. ↑,
68', Zangpo P. ↓, Namgyel J. ↑,
76', Fakhro M. ↓, Osman M. ↑,
76', Kheir El Dine A. ↓, Sisi ↑,
83', Gyeltshen Y. ↓, Chetrim K. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Lebanon is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bhutan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bhutan
Asian Cup
09.10.25	Lebanon - Bhutan	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Brunei - Bhutan	2:1 ✺
Friendly
04.06.25	Bangladesh - Bhutan	2:0 ✺
Asian Cup
25.03.25	Bhutan - Yemen	0:0 ✺
Friendly
08.09.24	Bhutan - Bangladesh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLLTW
- Lebanon
Asian Cup
09.10.25	Lebanon - Bhutan	2:0 ✺
Friendly
08.09.25	Indonesia - Lebanon	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Kuwait - Lebanon	Canceled ✺
24.08.25	Qatar - Lebanon	0:1 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Yemen - Lebanon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WT?WT

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
09.10.25	Lebanon - Bhutan	2:0
SAFF Championship
25.06.23	Bhutan - Lebanon	1:4

Bhutan - Lebanon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide