Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Bilje		Šmartno

	1	X	2
	1.34	5	6
	1.37	5	5.5
	1.38	4.6	5.4
	1.44	4.65	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	4.81 ↑ (4.67)	5.63 ↑ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bilje
65.2%

Draw
18.7%

Šmartno
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

12%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bilje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Šmartno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilje than the current prediction. (-24.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bilje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šmartno than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Šmartno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bilje - Šmartno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bilje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bilje is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Bilje
Slovenian 2 SNL
10.10.20	Bilje - Krško	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Bilje - Beltinci	5:2 ✺
19.09.20	Fužinar Ravne - Bilje	5:0 ✺
16.09.20	Bilje - Primorje	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Nafta - Bilje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLTL
- NK Šmartno
Slovenian 2 SNL
03.10.20	Beltinci - Šmartno	1:1 ✺
27.09.20	Šmartno - Fužinar Ravne	0:3 ✺
19.09.20	Primorje - Šmartno	1:1 ✺
16.09.20	Šmartno - Nafta	0:10 ✺
12.09.20	Drava Ptuj - Šmartno	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TLTLW

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