Match Info

2. SNL - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava)


	Nafta		Bilje

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.95	8.1	Watch
	1.27	4.9	9.35
	1.33	4.3	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	4.72 ↑ (4.7)	8.62 ↓ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
70.3%

Draw
19.2%

Bilje
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

19.5%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

18.5%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Bilje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilje than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Nafta - Bilje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Jasaragic A. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Jasaragic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 3 - 0, Zorica J. ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, Brumec D. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga (Promotion: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 4.

Nafta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bilje is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bilje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nafta is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Nafta will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:9. (average 3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nafta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian Cup
22.10.25	Škofja Loka - Nafta	1:6 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
19.10.25	Nafta - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Bistrica - Nafta	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Nafta - Tabor Sežana	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW
- ND Bilje
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.10.25	Bilje - Bistrica	0:0 ✺
10.10.25	Tabor Sežana - Bilje	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bilje - Jadran Dekani	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Jesenice - Bilje	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bilje - Krško	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
20.04.24	Bilje - Nafta	0:2
30.09.23	Nafta - Bilje	3:1
20.05.23	Bilje - Nafta	1:2
04.11.22	Nafta - Bilje	2:2
25.03.22	Nafta - Bilje	4:1
11.09.21	Bilje - Nafta	2:5
19.05.21	Nafta - Bilje	6:1

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