The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Binh Duong 48.2%
Draw 26.6%
Hoang Anh Gia Lai 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
24.5%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
26.5%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Binh Duong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Binh Duong's form might have worsened.
Hoang Anh Gia Lai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binh Duong than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Binh Duong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoang Anh Gia Lai than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoang Anh Gia Lai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Binh Duong - Hoang Anh Gia Lai Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Tran Minh Toan (G) 11. Bui Vi Hao 39. Kizito G. 2. Ngo Tung Quoc 33. Nguyen Thanh Kien 16. Nguyen Thanh Nhan 7. Nguyen Tran Viet Cuong 8. Phan Thanh Hau 21. Tran Dinh Khuong 3. Tran Hoang Bao 10. Vo Hoang Minh Khoa
25. Tran Trung Kien (G) 5. Dinh Q. K. 9. Gabriel Conceicao 23. Hoang V. N. 33. Jairo Rodrigues 10. Marciel 28. Nguyen Huu Anh Tai 12. Nguyen Minh Tam 15. Nguyen Van Trieu 16. Tran G. B. 38. Vo P. B.
Substitutes
88. Mac Quan Hong 27. Nguyen Khac Vu 20. Nguyen Trong Hung 89. Nguyen Trong Phu 28. Nguyen Van Anh 30. Nguyen Van Cong (G) 94. Oduenyi U. 72. Sam E. 5. Schmidt A.
20. Cao H. M. 29. Junior 17. Luong Thanh Ngoc Lam 26. Moi S. 19. Nguyen D. T. 7. Nguyen Thanh Nhan 69. Nguyen V. K. (G) 6. Tran Thanh Son 11. Vo Dinh Lam
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Bui Vi Hao ⚽,
12', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Tran G. B. ⚽,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Nguyen Tran Viet Cuong ⚽,
76', 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Oduenyi U. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ V.League 2 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binh Duong won 2.
Binh Duong has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Hoang Anh Gia Lai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Binh Duong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Binh Duong is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Binh Duong won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Binh Duong won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
Vietnam
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Tran Minh Toan (G) 
Kizito G. 
Gabriel Conceicao 
Oduenyi U. 
Sam E. 
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