Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Binissalem		Mercadal

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.78	2.98
	2.54	2.89	2.93	Watch
	2.45	3.13	2.92
	2.44	2.86	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.34)	2.92 ↓ (3.15)	2.95 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Binissalem
37.3%

Draw
31.5%

Mercadal
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Binissalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Binissalem - Mercadal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binissalem won 4.

Binissalem is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mercadal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mercadal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Binissalem won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Binissalem won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Binissalem
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
18.10.25	Constancia - Binissalem	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Binissalem - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Portmany - Binissalem	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Binissalem - Rotlet Molinar	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Collerense - Binissalem	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
19.10.25	Mercadal - Felanitx	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Peña Deportiva - Mercadal	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mercadal - Portmany	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Rotlet Molinar - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mercadal - Collerense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
19.10.24	Binissalem - Mercadal	2:0
03.02.24	Mercadal - Binissalem	2:1
17.09.23	Binissalem - Mercadal	2:0
15.04.23	Binissalem - Mercadal	2:1
17.12.22	Mercadal - Binissalem	0:1
14.04.22	Mercadal - Binissalem	3:1
12.12.21	Binissalem - Mercadal	0:0

Binissalem - Mercadal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide