Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - ROUND 8

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday


	Birkenhead United		Auckland United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	4.1	2.05
	2.38	4.2	2.04
	2.65	4.1	2.05
	2.72	4.24	2.2
	2.64	4.05	2.14	Watch
	2.7	4.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.86)	4.17 ↑ (3.8)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkenhead United
34.9%

Draw
21.8%

Auckland United
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

23.8%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

24%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Auckland United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkenhead United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Birkenhead United - Auckland United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Birkenhead will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Auckland United will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 and 3).

Recent matches Birkenhead is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auckland United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Auckland United will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkenhead United
New Zealand National League
12.11.22	Napier City Rovers - Birkenhead United	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Melville United - Birkenhead United	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Birkenhead United - Cashmere Technical	5:3 ✺
21.10.22	Wellington Olympic - Birkenhead United	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Birkenhead United - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLT
- Auckland United
New Zealand National League
11.11.22	Auckland United - Cashmere Technical	2:1 ✺
04.11.22	Wellington Olympic - Auckland United	3:1 ✺
28.10.22	Auckland United - Auckland City	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Miramar Rangers - Auckland United	0:1 ✺
14.10.22	Auckland United - Christchurch United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWT

Birkenhead United - Auckland United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide