Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: National League - Championship Group - Round 6

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Wakefield Park (Wellington)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Wellington Olympic		Birkenhead United

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	3.9
	1.6	4.5	4	Watch
	1.64	4.63	4.01
	1.62	4.83	4.15	Watch
	1.59	4.45	4.09
	1.6	4.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	4.52 ↓ (4.55)	4.03 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Olympic
57%

Draw
20.3%

Birkenhead United
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

20.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Birkenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Olympic than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wellington Olympic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkenhead United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wellington Olympic - Birkenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Wilkinson E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Olympic
New Zealand National League
26.10.24	Western Springs - Wellington Olympic	2:3 ✺
18.10.24	Cashmere Technical - Wellington Olympic	2:2 ✺
11.10.24	Wellington Olympic - Eastern Suburbs	4:1 ✺
04.10.24	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	0:1 ✺
27.09.24	Coastal Spirit - Wellington Olympic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLT
- Birkenhead United
New Zealand National League
26.10.24	Birkenhead United - Wellington Phoenix 2	4:2 ✺
18.10.24	Birkenhead United - Napier City Rovers	4:2 ✺
12.10.24	Western Springs - Birkenhead United	1:3 ✺
04.10.24	Birkenhead United - Western Suburbs	3:3 ✺
28.09.24	Auckland City - Birkenhead United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
21.10.22	Wellington Olympic - Birkenhead United	2:0

Wellington Olympic - Birkenhead United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide