Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 7

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Shepherds Park (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Birkenhead United		Christchurch United

	1	X	2
	2.12	4.05	2.52	Watch
	2.16	4.48	2.6
	2.54	4.15	2.26	Watch
	2.16	3.92	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.54)	4.15 (4.15)	2.48 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkenhead United
40.9%

Draw
22.1%

Christchurch United
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

22.4%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

21.4%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Christchurch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkenhead United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birkenhead United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christchurch United than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christchurch United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Birkenhead United - Christchurch United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Birkenhead (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Birkenhead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Birkenhead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Including home match between the teams, Birkenhead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkenhead United
New Zealand National League
01.11.25	Auckland FC 2 - Birkenhead United	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Birkenhead United - Wellington Olympic	2:4 ✺
18.10.25	Western Suburbs - Birkenhead United	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Birkenhead United - Auckland City	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Coastal Spirit - Birkenhead United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLWW
- Christchurch United
New Zealand National League
31.10.25	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Coastal Spirit - Christchurch United	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Christchurch United - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Christchurch United	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Christchurch United - Miramar Rangers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
01.10.22	Birkenhead United - Christchurch United	3:1

Birkenhead United - Christchurch United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide