Match Info

ENGLAND: WOMEN’S CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Birmingham City LFC		Reading

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.2	5.75
				Watch
	1.44	4.37	5.96
	1.44	4.37	5.96
	1.41	4.35	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.75)	4.32 ↑ (3.4)	5.96 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City LFC
63.7%

Draw
21.1%

Reading
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City LFC's performance.

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City LFC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reading could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2.

Birmingham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Reading is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
22.10.23	Birmingham City LFC - Watford	5:2 ✺
15.10.23	Sheffield United - Birmingham City LFC	0:4 ✺
English League Cup Women
11.10.23	Birmingham City LFC - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:3 ✺
English WSL 2
08.10.23	Birmingham City LFC - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Southampton - Birmingham City LFC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLTW
- Reading FC Women
English WSL 2
22.10.23	Reading - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
15.10.23	Sunderland - Reading	3:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
11.10.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Reading	6:0 ✺
English WSL 2
08.10.23	Reading - Lewes	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Durham - Reading	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
14.08.22	Birmingham City LFC - Reading	1:0
English WSL
23.01.22	Reading - Birmingham City LFC	3:2
07.11.21	Birmingham City LFC - Reading	0:3
25.04.21	Birmingham City LFC - Reading	1:1
11.10.20	Reading - Birmingham City LFC	0:1
12.01.20	Reading - Birmingham City LFC	1:0
06.01.19	Birmingham City LFC - Reading	2:1

Birmingham City LFC - Reading: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide