Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 17

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	WSL 2


	Southampton		Birmingham City LFC

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.75	1.5
	5.04	4.28	1.53
	5.7	4	1.51	Watch
	5	3.75	1.5
	5.75	3.87	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (5.12)	3.93 ↑ (3.84)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
16.8%

Draw
23.2%

Birmingham City LFC
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23.5%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

22.8%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Southampton - Birmingham City LFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Stenson F. (G) 23. Collett M. 15. Wade E. 5. Goddard A. 19. Simpson J. 6. Bourne T. 7. Brazil E. 14. Bashford M. 66. Palmer A. 10. McAloine M. 20. Primus A. (C)	24. Franch A. (G) 18. McKenna R. 4. Silcock H. 30. Herron N. 15. Holloway R. 14. Hopcroft S. 19. Cornet C. (C) 27. Sarri V. 16. Crosthwaite L. 8. Leidhammar W. 22. Hurtre O.
Substitutes
2. Brown R. 12. Edwards M. 3. Mott M. 30. Pettit E. (G) 35. Roberts E. 27. Watts I.	6. Cooke S. 2. Harris M. 3. Kovacs M. 7. Lee Geum-Min 20. Lindstrom L. 29. Louis B. 26. Miyagawa A. 17. Quinn Lu. 1. Thomas L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', McKenna R. 🟨,
27', Herron N. 🟨,
41', Hopcroft S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Simpson J. 🟨,
62', Hopcroft S. ↓, Miyagawa A. ↑,
62', Hurtre O. ↓, Louis B. ↑,
65', Bourne T. ↓, Mott M. ↑,
75', Leidhammar W. ↓, Lindstrom L. ↑,
75', Silcock H. ↓, Cooke S. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Miyagawa A. ⚽,
80', Collett M. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
88', Crosthwaite L. ↓, Quinn Lu. ↑,
90', Hack E. ↓, Brown R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 2.

Southampton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Birmingham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Southampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Southampton W	5	1	3	1	5:4	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton WFC
English WSL 2
15.02.26	Bristol City - Southampton	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Southampton - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Southampton - Crystal Palace	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sunderland - Southampton	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup Women
18.01.26	Southampton - Bristol City	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWLL
- Birmingham City LFC
English FA Cup Women
21.02.26	Birmingham City LFC - Chatham Town	8:0 ✺
English WSL 2
16.02.26	Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Durham - Birmingham City LFC	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Birmingham City LFC - Nottingham Forest	5:1 ✺
24.01.26	Portsmouth - Birmingham City LFC	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
05.10.25	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	1:2
16.03.25	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	2:1
20.10.24	Southampton - Birmingham City LFC	0:2
18.02.24	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	1:2
01.10.23	Southampton - Birmingham City LFC	1:3
02.04.23	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	2:1
17.10.22	Southampton - Birmingham City LFC	1:0

Southampton - Birmingham City LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide