Match Info

ENGLAND: Professional Development League

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Birmingham City U21		Fleetwood Town U21

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.6	4.6
	1.49	4.97	4.68
	1.5	5.01	5.01	Watch
	1.73	4	3.5
	1.46	4.6	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.77)	4.64 ↑ (4.29)	4.58 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City U21
60.1%

Draw
19.8%

Fleetwood Town U21
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

21.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

19.3%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City U21's performance.

Fleetwood Town U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fleetwood Town U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town U21 than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fleetwood Town U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Birmingham City U21 - Fleetwood Town U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Birmingham U21 will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fleetwood U21 will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Khela B. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Khela B. ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Wodskou B. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Williams T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 3 - 2, Williams T. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 and 7).

Recent matches Birmingham U21 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fleetwood U21 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fleetwood U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Birmingham U21 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham U21 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City U21
English Professional Development League
17.09.24	Birmingham City U21 - Millwall U21	4:1 ✺
30.08.24	Birmingham City U21 - Cardiff City U21	3:4 ✺
26.08.24	Watford U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:4 ✺
19.08.24	Birmingham City U21 - Colchester United U21	0:3 ✺
13.08.24	Ipswich Town U21 - Birmingham City U21	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLL
- Fleetwood Town U21
English Premier League Cup
15.09.24	Fleetwood Town U21 - Swansea City U21	0:6 ✺
English Professional Development League
10.09.24	Fleetwood Town U21 - Bournemouth U21	1:4 ✺
06.09.24	Colchester United U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Cardiff City U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Fleetwood Town U21 - Swansea City U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
14.02.24	Birmingham City U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	1:1
16.10.23	Fleetwood Town U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:2

Birmingham City U21 - Fleetwood Town U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide