Match Info

Premier League 2

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: The Arden Garages Stadium (Stratford upon Avon)

Referee: McQuillan M. (Eng)


	Birmingham City U21		Manchester United U21

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.65	1.41
	5.87	4.24	1.49
	6.21	5.27	1.39	Watch
	5	4.75	1.4
	5.47	5.2	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↓ (6.45)	4.82 ↓ (5.2)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City U21
16.4%

Draw
19.1%

Manchester United U21
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

17.9%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

17.3%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Manchester United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Birmingham City U21 - Manchester United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Sullivan W. (G) 2. Thompson-Jones R. 5. Burrell B. (C) 4. Briscoe T. 3. Quirk J. 6. Rea L. 18. Ahmed Y. 17. Sanders C. 8. Betteka Z. 7. Da Silva A. 9. Guernier A.	1. Murdock W. (G) 2. Overy J. 3. Jackson L. (C) 4. Kukonki G. 5. Leon D. 8. McAllister F. 6. Fletcher T. 7. Sharpe M. 10. Fitzgerald J. 11. Shah J. 9. Musa V.
Substitutes
12. Campbell B. 14. Degtiarev N. 19. Martin-Moore D. 20. Ruiz Rente A. 13. Terenowicz S. (G)	17. Bradbury L. 13. Honor S. (G) 15. McCormack R. 16. McEvoy J. 12. Mills A. F.
Coaches
Barham D.	Lawrence A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Fitzgerald J. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Da Silva A. ⚽, Betteka Z. (A),
37', Leon D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Guernier A. ↓, Degtiarev N. ↑,
62', Leon D. ↓, McEvoy J. ↑,
75', Shah J. ↓, McCormack R. ↑,
75', Fitzgerald J. ↓, Bradbury L. ↑,
76', Jackson L. ↓, Mills A. F. ↑,
88', Ahmed Y. ↓, Martin-Moore D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 25 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent form of Birmingham U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Man Utd U21 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Birmingham U21 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Man Utd U21 is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Manchester Utd U21	3	3	0	0	12:3	9	9
26	Birmingham U21	3	0	2	1	5:7	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City U21
English Premier League 2
02.03.26	Middlesbrough U21 - Birmingham City U21	1:4 ✺
22.02.26	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Birmingham City U21	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur U21 - Birmingham City U21	4:0 ✺
30.01.26	Birmingham City U21 - Aston Villa U21	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Birmingham City U21	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLTL
- Manchester United U21
English Premier League 2
02.03.26	Manchester United U21 - Chelsea U21	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Leicester City U21 - Manchester United U21	1:4 ✺
06.02.26	Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	West Bromwich Albion U21 - Manchester United U21	1:5 ✺
26.01.26	Manchester United U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWT

Birmingham City U21 - Manchester United U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide