Match Info

Premier League 2

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Smith N. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


New-zealand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	MUTV App, MUTV


	Manchester United U21		Derby County U21

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.7	6.5
	1.28	7.19	6.59
	1.29	6.18	7.66	Watch
	1.25	6	6.5
	1.24	6.55	7.03	Watch
	1.28	6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.38)	6.27 ↑ (5.48)	6.88 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United U21
72.1%

Draw
14.6%

Derby County U21
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

17%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

16.2%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harrison E. (G) 2. Ogunneye H. 3. Aljofree S. (C) 4. Jackson L. 5. Leon D. 6. McCormack R. 8. Moorhouse J. 7. Kamason J. 10. Bailey J. 11. Sharpe M. 9. Obi C.	1. Thompson J. (G) 2. Gordon I. 4. Canoville R. 5. Osayande A. (C) 3. Gough B. 6. Tola M. 8. Wahling J. 11. Allen C. 10. Smith C. 7. Wade S. 9. Oguntolu J.
Substitutes
16. Bradbury L. 15. Brown N. 12. Kukonki G. 14. McAllister F. 13. Murdock W. (G)	16. Banks L. 14. Davidson J. 13. Dzialuk C. (G) 12. Mintus M. 15. Offor R.
Coaches
Wilkinson B.	Maye D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Oguntolu J. ⚽, Gordon I. (A),
29', McCormack R. 🟨,
29', Tola M. 🟨,
34', Kamason J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wade S. ↓, Davidson J. ↑,
62', Tola M. 🟨,
65', Canoville R. ↓, Mintus M. ↑,
65', Allen C. ↓, Banks L. ↑,
65', Smith C. ↓, Offor R. ↑,
68', Bailey J. ↓, McAllister F. ↑,
79', Ogunneye H. ↓, Bradbury L. ↑,
85', Leon D. ↓, Kukonki G. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Bradbury L. ⚽, Sharpe M. (A),
90+3', Oguntolu J. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 28).

Man Utd U21 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Derby U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Man Utd U21 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Man Utd U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Including home match between the teams, Man Utd U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Manchester Utd U21	3	3	0	0	12:3	9	9
20	Derby U21	4	1	1	2	9:12	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United U21
English Premier League 2
02.02.26	West Bromwich Albion U21 - Manchester United U21	1:5 ✺
26.01.26	Manchester United U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
20.01.26	Manchester United U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	3:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
16.01.26	Fulham U21 - Manchester United U21	2:2 ✺
12.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Manchester United U21	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWTW
- Derby County U21
English Premier League 2
30.01.26	Derby County U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Crystal Palace U21 - Derby County U21	6:0 ✺
16.01.26	Derby County U21 - Aston Villa U21	0:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
06.01.26	Derby County U21 - Sheffield United U21	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
01.03.24	Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21	2:4

Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide