Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Bishops Stortford		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.35	2.4
	2.59	3.5	2.42
	2.53	3.44	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.4)	3.43 ↓ (3.7)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
35.6%

Draw
26.5%

Spalding United
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Bishops Stortford - Spalding United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Lawlor D. (Pen),
24', 0 - 2, Bendle A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 3, Ceesay Y. ⚽,
72', 0 - 4, Roberts J. ⚽,
79', 1 - 4, Akanbi S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Spalding has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bishops Stortford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bishops Stortford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Spalding United - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.34%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.25	Bishops Stortford - Redditch United	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Bishops Stortford - Cray Wanderers	4:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
27.09.25	St Ives Town - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Needham Market - Bishops Stortford	0:4 ✺
20.09.25	Kettering Town - Bishops Stortford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL
- Spalding United
English FA Cup
11.10.25	South Shields - Spalding United	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Rushall Olympic - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Spalding United - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Bury Town - Spalding United	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Banbury United - Spalding United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.02.25	Bishops Stortford - Spalding United	2:0
16.11.24	Spalding United - Bishops Stortford	1:3

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