Match Info

Slovenian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Slovenska Bistrica (Slovenska Bistrica)

Referee: Jazbec Z. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Bistrica		Koper

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	4.5	3.8	1.68
	4.63	3.72	1.72	Watch
	3.3	3	2.05
	4.04	4.04	1.71	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.24)	3.61 ↑ (3.25)	1.8 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bistrica
22.9%

Draw
25.6%

Koper
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

28.4%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

29.3%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bistrica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bistrica's form might have worsened.

Koper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Koper's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koper than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Bistrica - Koper Predictions

Users Predictions: Koper will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erjavsek L. (G) 8. Bracko N. 77. Brumec D. 24. Bukovec A. 6. Freser R. 10. Jelen J. 9. Krapukhin S. 5. Poredos L. 20. Svrznjak I. 23. Trdin K. 3. Zajsek D.	31. Jurhar M. (G) 8. Domgjoni T. 10. El Manssouri O. 3. Felipe Curcio 11. Juric D. 9. Juric T. 80. Longonda J. 45. Matondo I. 15. Mittendorfer M. 2. Pabai M. 48. Sidibe A.
Coaches
Pevnik R.	Stojanovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Trdin K. 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 🟨,
66', Svrznjak I. 🟨,
68', Brumec D. 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Juric T. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Popovic D. ⚽,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Koper could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Koper will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bistrica
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.03.25	Rudar Velenje - Bistrica	2:2 ✺
21.03.25	Bistrica - Brinje-Grosuplje	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Beltinci - Bistrica	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Bistrica - Gorica	1:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
05.03.25	Dobrovce - Bistrica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWWW
- FC Koper
Slovenian PrvaLiga
29.03.25	Koper - Mura	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Koper - Venezia	7:3 ET ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
16.03.25	Maribor - Koper	4:2 ✺
08.03.25	Domžale - Koper	2:3 ✺
05.03.25	Primorje - Koper	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWLWT

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