Match Info

2. SNL - Round 30

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Bistrica		Slovan Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.4	2.98	Watch
	1.93	3.76	2.94
	1.98	4.19	3.07	Watch
	2	3.4	3
	2.18	3.3	2.95
	2.28	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.28)	3.54 ↑ (3.2)	2.93 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bistrica
43.6%

Draw
25.5%

Slovan Ljubljana
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.7%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bistrica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Slovan Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Bistrica - Slovan Ljubljana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bistrica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Bistrica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Slovan Ljubljana	9	5	1	3	13:15	-2	16
10	NK Bistrica	9	4	1	4	12:14	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bistrica
Slovenian 2 SNL
16.05.26	Triglav - Bistrica	0:4 ✺
09.05.26	Bistrica - Brinje-Grosuplje	0:4 ✺
06.05.26	Beltinci - Bistrica	3:0 ✺
30.04.26	Bistrica - Bilje	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Nafta - Bistrica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLLWL
- ND Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
17.05.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Tabor Sežana	5:1 ✺
10.05.26	Jadran Dekani - Slovan Ljubljana	5:1 ✺
07.05.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Jesenice	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Krško - Slovan Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Gorica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
15.11.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Bistrica	2:0
11.04.25	Bistrica - Slovan Ljubljana	2:1
27.09.24	Slovan Ljubljana - Bistrica	0:2

Bistrica - Slovan Ljubljana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide