Match Info

2. SNL - Round 25

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava)


	Nafta		Bistrica

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.65	8.5
	1.26	4.96	8.67
	1.31	5.08	9.24	Watch
	1.3	4.5	8
	1.31	4.75	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.42)	4.79 ↑ (4.4)	8.44 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
70.3%

Draw
19%

Bistrica
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.9%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

19.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nafta's performance.

Bistrica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Nafta - Bistrica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga and 6).

Nafta has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bistrica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nafta is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Nafta will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nafta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	NK Bistrica	9	4	1	4	12:14	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
17.04.26	Tabor Sežana - Nafta	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jesenice - Nafta	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Nafta - Krško	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gorica - Nafta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWT
- NK Bistrica
Slovenian 2 SNL
17.04.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Jadran Dekani - Bistrica	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Bistrica - Jesenice	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Krško - Bistrica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
11.10.25	Bistrica - Nafta	0:2
13.11.23	Nafta - Bistrica	3:1
29.08.23	Bistrica - Nafta	1:0
22.04.23	Bistrica - Nafta	1:0
07.10.22	Nafta - Bistrica	0:2

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