Match Info

2. SNL - Round 23

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Bistrica		Tabor Sežana

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.25	3.8	1.85
	3.58	3.52	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3	2
	3.45	3.32	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.59)	3.38 ↑ (3.28)	1.96 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bistrica
27%

Draw
26.8%

Tabor Sežana
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bistrica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bistrica's form might have worsened.

Tabor Sežana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tabor Sežana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bistrica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabor Sežana than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tabor Sežana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bistrica - Tabor Sežana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Sanchez L. ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, Marsetic E. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Hodzic A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3).

Bistrica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tabor Sežana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bistrica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bistrica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bistrica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	9	7	1	1	20:7	13	22
10	NK Bistrica	9	4	1	4	12:14	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bistrica
Slovenian 2 SNL
03.04.26	Jadran Dekani - Bistrica	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Bistrica - Jesenice	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Krško - Bistrica	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Bistrica - Gorica	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Dravinja - Bistrica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTTLW
- Tabor Sežana
Slovenian 2 SNL
03.04.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Tabor Sežana	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Tabor Sežana - Jadran Dekani	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Jesenice - Tabor Sežana	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tabor Sežana - Krško	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Gorica - Tabor Sežana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
28.09.25	Tabor Sežana - Bistrica	2:1
27.04.25	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	0:0
12.10.24	Tabor Sežana - Bistrica	0:0
30.09.23	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	1:0
Slovenian Cup
02.09.20	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	1:2

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