Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 17

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	Bitonto		Casarano

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	3.64	3.1	1.94
	3.6	3.1	1.83
	3.75	3.18	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.35)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	1.91 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bitonto
24.5%

Draw
28.6%

Casarano
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

28.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

27.8%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bitonto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bitonto than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Bitonto - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bitonto won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Casarano have a series of home games.

Casarano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bitonto won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bitonto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bitonto
Italian Serie D - Group H
17.12.23	Altamura - Bitonto	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Bitonto - Gravina	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Palmese 1914 - Bitonto	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Bitonto - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Gelbison Cilento - Bitonto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTWTL
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
17.12.23	Casarano - Manfredonia	1:2 ✺
10.12.23	Matera - Casarano	3:1 ✺
03.12.23	Casarano - Barletta	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Casarano - Santa Maria Cilento	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Casarano - Fidelis Andria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
07.05.23	Bitonto - Casarano	2:2
21.12.22	Casarano - Bitonto	1:0
06.03.22	Bitonto - Casarano	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Casarano - Bitonto	0:1 penalties
Italian Serie D - Group H
24.10.21	Casarano - Bitonto	0:1
23.05.21	Casarano - Bitonto	0:3
24.03.21	Bitonto - Casarano	1:3

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