The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casarano 42.3%
Draw 27.1%
Foggia 30.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.8%
27.4%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
27.3%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Casarano - Foggia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 14th and 13th).
Recent results have been tough for Casarano (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Foggia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Casarano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Casarano holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Casarano has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Casarano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Foggia
11
4
2
5
11:13
-2
14
14
Casarano
11
4
2
5
13:18
-5
14
Last Results with these Odds
Foggia - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.85%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.