Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Casarano		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.15	6.5
	1.45	4.17	7.33
	1.00	1.00	1.01	Watch
	1.42	4.1	6.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	3.36 ↓ (4.15)	5.37 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
60.9%

Draw
24.1%

Foggia
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casarano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Casarano - Foggia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chiorra N. (G) 4. Lulic K. 5. Celiento D. 24. Gega E. 77. Cajazzo I. 23. Logoluso G. 17. Maiello R. 21. Millico V. 10. Chirico C. 11. Ferrara V. 9. Malcore G.	1. Perucchini F. (G) 20. Buttaro A. 6. Minelli A. 77. Olivieri E. 19. Byar N. 18. Oliva M. 8. Garofalo V. 54. Pellegrino G. 14. Panico C. 99. D'Amico F. 17. Sylla Y.
Substitutes
1. Bacchin F. (G) 26. Barone A. 35. Cerbone S. 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 19. Guastamacchia A. 30. Malagnino D. 15. Milicevic M. 7. Palumbo F. 18. Perez L. 20. Pinto G. 12. Pucci D. (G) 90. Zanaboni E.	26. Agnelli G. 9. Bevilacqua M. 27. Borbei A. (G) 40. Castaldi G. 5. Castorri G. 3. Felicioli G. 10. Ilicic M. 22. Magro F. (G) 47. Pazienza O. 92. Winkelmann T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Maiello R. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Morelli G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Malcore G. ↓, Zanaboni E. ↑,
46', Millico V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
56', Morelli G. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, D'Amico F. ⚽,
66', D'Alena A. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
72', Borbei A. 🟨,
72', Cajazzo I. ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
74', Pellegrino G. ↓, Pazienza O. ↑,
74', Morelli G. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
75', Oliva M. ↓, Agnelli G. ↑,
84', Panico C. ↓, Felicioli G. ↑,
89', D'Amico F. ↓, Ilicic M. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Casarano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Foggia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Casarano is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Casarano will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Casarano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Casertana - Casarano	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Casarano - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Sorrento - Casarano	3:3 ✺
21.09.25	Casarano - Cavese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTTW
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.25	Foggia - Crotone	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Foggia	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Picerno - Foggia	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Foggia - Casertana	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Foggia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.02.20	Casarano - Foggia	1:0
20.10.19	Foggia - Casarano	1:1

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