Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 26

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade 15 Octobre (Bizerte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Bizertin		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.45	1.52
	6.42	3.64	1.53
	6.32	3.56	1.54	Watch
	5.75	3.3	1.57
	6.37	3.54	1.51	Watch
	4.75	3.25	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.89 ↑ (4.75)	3.46 ↑ (3.25)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bizertin
15.4%

Draw
26.3%

Espérance ST
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

27.6%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

25.6%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bizertin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bizertin than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espérance ST, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bizertin - Espérance ST Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Bizertin (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bizertin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Maktouf Y. (G) 24. Allela M. 28. Ayinde O. 29. Berrima Z. 12. Chihi W. 8. Cissoko I. 20. Doukali M. 14. Dridi A. (C) 21. Fonseca B. 31. Guesmi A. 4. Rehimi R.	32. Ben Said B. (G) 20. Ben Hamida M. (C) 7. Boualia K. 22. Danho F. 13. Drager M. 28. Hmidhi A. 31. Jebali C. 6. Jelassi H. 14. Ogbelu O. 8. Tka H. 15. Tougai M.
Substitutes
26. Amamou H. 7. Amri A. 9. Amri A. 2. Bougatfa F. 10. Chaabane A. 18. Diop M. 16. Hanzouli M. (G) 35. Kane I. 17. Midani I.	21. Derbali A. 17. Dhaou H. 29. Diakite A. 18. Haj Ali M. 19. Jabri A. 23. Keita I. 12. Laifi N. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 24. Rafia H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Boualia K. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, Chihi W. ⚽,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bizertin won 1.

Bizertin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Espérance ST's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bizertin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Espérance ST is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bizertin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:39. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bizertin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Esperance Tunis	4	3	0	1	7:6	1	9
8	CA Bizertin	4	2	1	1	3:3	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bizertin
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Bizertin - Msaken	2:1 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
11.04.26	Stade Tunisien - Bizertin	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Bizertin - Soliman	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
22.03.26	Bizertin - Marsa	3:2 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
08.03.26	JS Kairouan - Bizertin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTWW
- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.04.26	Espérance ST - Zarzis	2:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
18.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
21.03.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
30.10.25	Espérance ST - Bizertin	2:0
22.02.25	Bizertin - Espérance ST	2:1
26.10.24	Espérance ST - Bizertin	0:0
03.01.24	Espérance ST - Bizertin	1:1
08.11.23	Bizertin - Espérance ST	0:2
Tunisian Cup
05.04.23	Espérance ST - Bizertin	2:0
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
02.02.23	Espérance ST - Bizertin	4:0

Bizertin - Espérance ST: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide