Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 28

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade 15 Octobre (Bizerte)


	Bizertin		Marsa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.05	4.55
	1.84	2.92	4.69
	2.1	2.62	4.38	Watch
	1.8	2.8	5
	1.85	3.05	4.3
	1.71	3.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.71)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	4.6 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bizertin
49.3%

Draw
30.9%

Marsa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

28.2%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

27.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bizertin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bizertin than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Bizertin - Marsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bizertin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Marsa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Maktouf Y. (G) 24. Allela M. 28. Ayinde O. 29. Berrima Z. 12. Chihi W. 8. Cissoko I. 20. Doukali M. 14. Dridi A. (C) 21. Fonseca B. 31. Gasmi M. 4. Rehimi R.	23. Helal S. (G) 21. Adejoh O. 10. Aifia F. 5. Arfaoui Y. 2. Chaouch M. 25. Dao Y. 15. Gneba R. 17. Jebali O. 27. Khaloui M. 6. Mestari S. 11. Traidi O.
Substitutes
26. Amamou H. 10. Chaabane A. 18. Diop M. 9. Hammami H. 16. Hanzouli M. (G) 35. Kane I. 23. Kchouk Y. 17. Midani I. 27. Nourani M.	28. Ben Hamida A. 7. Hammami K. 3. Hichri H. 24. Mansour H. 14. Msallem H. 29. Neji F. 1. Soltani A. (G) 13. Traidi M. 26. Victorino Polaco

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 🟨,
17', Arfaoui Y. 🟥,
20', 0 - 1, Khaloui M. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Traidi O. ↓, Msallem H. ↑,
33', 0 - 2, Dao Y. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Ayinde O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
75', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bizertin won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Bizertin is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bizertin won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bizertin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Bizertin	4	2	1	1	3:3	0	7
11	AS Marsa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bizertin
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
30.04.26	Olympique Béja - Bizertin	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bizertin - Espérance ST	1:1 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Bizertin - Msaken	2:1 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
11.04.26	Stade Tunisien - Bizertin	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Bizertin - Soliman	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTWTT
- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
30.04.26	Marsa - Zarzis	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Métlaoui - Marsa	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Marsa - Olympique Béja	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
22.03.26	Bizertin - Marsa	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Cup
22.03.26	Bizertin - Marsa	3:2 penalties
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.11.25	Marsa - Bizertin	2:0
01.06.24	Marsa - Bizertin	2:2
09.03.24	Bizertin - Marsa	1:0
25.11.23	Bizertin - Marsa	3:1
17.09.23	Marsa - Bizertin	0:0
02.05.17	Marsa - Bizertin	1:1

Bizertin - Marsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide