Match Info

NM Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday


	Bjarg		Vard Haugesund

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.55
	1.8	3.5	3.5
	2.22	3.95	2.68
	1.86	3.72	3.73
	1.72	4.01	4.01	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.5
	2.28	3.9	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	3.81 ↓ (3.85)	3.24 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjarg
46.9%

Draw
24.4%

Vard Haugesund
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

23.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

22.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjarg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vard Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjarg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Bjarg - Vard Haugesund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Jorgensen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, Lille-Lovo S. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Ahlander A. ⚽,

Preview

Bjarg has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vard Haugesund's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bjarg could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Bjarg
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
24.08.25	Lyn 2 - Bjarg	1:4 ✺
16.08.25	Bjarg - Lyngbø SK	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Bjarg - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
09.08.25	Åsane 2 - Bjarg	0:6 ✺
02.08.25	Bjarg - Førde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWT
- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.08.25	Vard Haugesund - Notodden	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Brann 2 - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Vidar - Vard Haugesund	1:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.08.25	Vard Haugesund - Træff	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Brattvåg - Vard Haugesund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWTL

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