Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)


	Vard Haugesund		Notodden

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	4.5
	1.62	4.05	4.35
	1.63	4.21	4.65
	1.81	4.34	3.42	Watch
	1.58	4.2	4.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	4.18 ↑ (4.02)	4.26 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vard Haugesund
56.4%

Draw
22%

Notodden
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

23%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

19.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vard Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vard Haugesund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+5%)

Vard Haugesund - Notodden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strand S. (G) 6. Banda P. 8. Bjornebye T. 22. Brandeggen B. 11. Dvergsdal T. 19. Eide A. 3. Helgesen S. 21. Jensen J. 7. Jensen S. (C) 10. Lille-Lovo S. 2. Lonning A.	1. Klausen P. (G) 20. Bjerkan B. 17. Holthe J. 2. Jacobsen N. 8. Jorgensen S. 14. Kristoffersen F. 18. Kyvik L. (C) 29. Singh B. 10. Singh K. 3. Ullenes P. 7. Ulsnes J.
Substitutes
23. Eikje M. 13. Fauskanger-Olsson L. 18. Hauge A. 5. Helgesen T. 15. Johnsen J. 4. Jonassen J. 26. Karamoko B. 14. Osdautaj L.	5. Ahmed M. 11. Gampedalen H. 21. Nesland J. 22. Nordbo T. 9. Sissoko D. 31. Straand S. (G) 19. Svarstad S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Lille-Lovo S. ⚽,
27', Kyvik L. 🟨,
27', Dvergsdal T. 🟨,
29', Bjerkan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Bjerkan B. ↓, Sissoko D. ↑,
58', Dvergsdal T. ↓, Eikje M. ↑,
60', Kristoffersen F. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
62', Bjornebye T. 🟨,
71', Lille-Lovo S. ↓, Hauge A. ↑,
76', Ulsnes J. ↓, Nordbo T. ↑,
76', Holthe J. ↓, Nesland J. ↑,
78', Banda P. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Nordbo T. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vard Haugesund won 1.

Vard Haugesund has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Notodden is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vard Haugesund may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vard Haugesund is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Vard Haugesund won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vard Haugesund won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
18.08.25	Brann 2 - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Vidar - Vard Haugesund	1:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.08.25	Vard Haugesund - Træff	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Brattvåg - Vard Haugesund	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Vard Haugesund - Lysekloster	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLT
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
17.08.25	Arendal - Notodden	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Follo - Notodden	6:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.08.25	Notodden - Lysekloster	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Sandnes Ulf - Notodden	7:0 ✺
05.07.25	Notodden - Flekkerøy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.03.25	Notodden - Vard Haugesund	2:1
26.10.24	Notodden - Vard Haugesund	4:0
04.05.24	Vard Haugesund - Notodden	3:1
15.07.23	Notodden - Vard Haugesund	5:1
24.06.23	Vard Haugesund - Notodden	3:4
20.08.22	Notodden - Vard Haugesund	0:0
26.06.22	Vard Haugesund - Notodden	1:1

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