Match Info

Druga NL - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bjelovar		Koprivnica

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.50	4.33
	1.62	3.55	4.30
	1.85	3.26	4.05	Watch
	1.68	3.70	4.20
	1.75	3.85	4.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.5)	3.57 ↓ (4)	4.18 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjelovar
52.9%

Draw
25.4%

Koprivnica
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.6%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

15.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjelovar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bjelovar's form might have worsened.

Koprivnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjelovar than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bjelovar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koprivnica than the current prediction. (+3%)

Bjelovar - Koprivnica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Nekic J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, Rujnic J. ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Medic F. ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, Medic F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd and 15th).

Bjelovar has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Koprivnica has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Bjelovar for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bjelovar has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Bjelovar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bjelovar	10	5	3	2	23:14	9	18
16	Koprivnica	10	1	2	7	10:25	-15	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bjelovar
Croatian Druga NL
10.10.26	Dugo Selo - Bjelovar	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Inker Zaprešić - Bjelovar	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Bjelovar - Varteks Varazdin	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Uskok Klis - Bjelovar	2:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
15.09.26	Bjelovar - Karlovac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTWL
- NK Koprivnica
Croatian Druga NL
12.10.26	Koprivnica - Inker Zaprešić	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Varteks Varazdin - Koprivnica	1:1 ✺
24.09.26	Koprivnica - Uskok Klis	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Grobničan - Koprivnica	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	Koprivnica - Radnik Križevci	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.01.26	Bjelovar - Koprivnica	2:0

Bjelovar - Koprivnica