Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Thohoyandou Stadium (Thohoyandou)


	Black Leopards		Venda

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.15
	1.87	3.1	4.25
	1.85	3.13	4.27	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.2
	1.85	3.04	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 (1.85)	3.01 ↓ (3.13)	4.23 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Black Leopards
48.7%

Draw
30%

Venda
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

31.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Black Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Venda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Leopards than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Black Leopards - Venda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Black Leopards won 1.

Black Leopards has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Venda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Black Leopards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Black Leopards is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Black Leopards won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Black Leopards won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Venda	5	0	1	4	3:9	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Black Leopards
South African First Division
02.05.26	Kruger United - Black Leopards	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Black Leopards - Milford	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Black Leopards - The Bees	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Casric Stars - Black Leopards	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Black Leopards - University of Pretoria	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLTWT
- Venda FA
South African First Division
03.05.26	Venda - Leicesterford City	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Venda	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Venda - Milford	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Venda - The Bees	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Hungry Lions - Venda	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
21.11.25	Venda - Black Leopards	1:0
05.04.25	Black Leopards - Venda	1:0
11.01.25	Venda - Black Leopards	2:0
02.04.24	Venda - Black Leopards	4:2
11.11.23	Black Leopards - Venda	1:1
14.05.23	Venda - Black Leopards	1:0
14.01.23	Black Leopards - Venda	1:1

Black Leopards - Venda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide