Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 25

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Venda		The Bees

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.88	3.4
	2.16	2.9	3.54
	2.16	2.91	3.5	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.4
	2.14	2.85	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.32)	2.85 ↓ (2.99)	3.47 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venda
42.2%

Draw
31.8%

The Bees
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

31.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

The Bees has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venda than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Bees than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Venda - The Bees Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).

Venda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

The Bees is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	The Bees	8	1	0	7	3:11	-8	3
16	Venda	8	0	1	7	4:14	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venda FA
South African First Division
11.04.26	Hungry Lions - Venda	1:3 ✺
08.04.26	Upington City - Venda	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Venda - Cape Town City	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	University of Pretoria - Venda	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Venda - Baroka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLT
- The Bees FC
South African First Division
11.04.26	The Bees - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Gomora United - The Bees	1:6 ✺
22.03.26	The Bees - University of Pretoria	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Upington City - The Bees	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	The Bees - Highbury	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWLW

Venda - The Bees