Match Info

Karnten - Round 24

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Bleiburg		ATSV Wolfsberg

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.85	2.16
	2.74	4.14	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.83
	3.57	3.76	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.72)	3.79 ↓ (4.3)	1.96 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bleiburg
29.6%

Draw
24%

ATSV Wolfsberg
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

21.3%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

20.6%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bleiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ATSV Wolfsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ATSV Wolfsberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bleiburg than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bleiburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATSV Wolfsberg than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ATSV Wolfsberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bleiburg - ATSV Wolfsberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bleiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ATSV Wolfsberg is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bleiburg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Including home match between the teams, Bleiburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SVG Bleiburg
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
30.04.26	Bleiburg - KAC 1909	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Bleiburg - Lendorf	1:6 ✺
17.04.26	SAK Klagenfurt - Bleiburg	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bleiburg - Austria Klagenfurt II	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sankt Veit - Bleiburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTTL
- ATSV Wolfsberg
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
30.04.26	ATSV Wolfsberg - Donau Klagenfurt	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Köttmannsdorf - ATSV Wolfsberg	2:5 ✺
17.04.26	ATSV Wolfsberg - Dellach Gail	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Völkermarkter - ATSV Wolfsberg	4:2 ✺
02.04.26	ATSV Wolfsberg - ATUS Ferlach	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Landesliga Karnten
19.09.25	ATSV Wolfsberg - Bleiburg	0:2
15.11.24	ATSV Wolfsberg - Bleiburg	2:0
10.08.24	Bleiburg - ATSV Wolfsberg	1:0
08.05.24	ATSV Wolfsberg - Bleiburg	0:2
Club Friendly
22.02.22	ATSV Wolfsberg - Bleiburg	Canceled

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