Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 10

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Blyth Spartans		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.56	3.49	2.6
	2.35	3.2	2.8
	2.56	3.38	2.53
	2.35	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.31)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.63 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
37.3%

Draw
27.7%

Alfreton Town
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Blyth won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English FA Cup
18.09.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ET ✺
16.09.23	Blyth Spartans - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Chester - Blyth Spartans	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Blyth Spartans - Farsley	4:0 ✺
02.09.23	Boston United - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLWL
- Alfreton Town
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Cleethorpes Town - Alfreton Town	2:4 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Alfreton Town - Boston United	4:0 ✺
05.09.23	Banbury United - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Alfreton Town - Scunthorpe United	2:2 ✺
28.08.23	King`s Lynn Town - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.04.23	Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans	1:0
22.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	2:2
22.01.22	Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans	0:1
14.08.21	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	2:0
English FA Trophy
03.12.19	Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans	1:3
23.11.19	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	1:1
English National League North
10.08.19	Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans	3:0

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